Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 8.922541e-05 1.079547e-04 0.000128 0.000151 0.000177 0.000204 0.000235
2024-10-06 6.721931e-05 9.118559e-05 0.000119 0.000152 0.000190 0.000233 0.000283
2024-10-13 5.437219e-05 8.060258e-05 0.000112 0.000152 0.000199 0.000253 0.000318
2024-10-20 4.212258e-05 6.908910e-05 0.000103 0.000148 0.000203 0.000268 0.000347
2024-10-27 3.524988e-05 6.291182e-05 0.000099 0.000149 0.000211 0.000285 0.000378
2024-11-03 2.544289e-05 5.134883e-05 0.000088 0.000139 0.000205 0.000287 0.000390
2024-11-10 2.345385e-05 5.065591e-05 0.000090 0.000147 0.000221 0.000314 0.000432
2024-11-17 1.816773e-05 4.408757e-05 0.000084 0.000142 0.000222 0.000322 0.000452
2024-11-24 1.359064e-05 3.765892e-05 0.000077 0.000137 0.000220 0.000325 0.000465
2024-12-01 1.022324e-05 3.267942e-05 0.000071 0.000133 0.000219 0.000332 0.000482
2024-12-08 7.718802e-06 2.866504e-05 0.000067 0.000129 0.000220 0.000339 0.000499
2024-12-15 5.282869e-06 2.403682e-05 0.000061 0.000124 0.000217 0.000340 0.000509
2024-12-22 2.881377e-06 1.912417e-05 0.000055 0.000121 0.000221 0.000357 0.000546
2024-12-29 1.521175e-06 1.579313e-05 0.000052 0.000121 0.000230 0.000381 0.000593
2025-01-05 7.288885e-07 1.314682e-05 0.000049 0.000121 0.000238 0.000403 0.000637
2025-01-12 1.949804e-07 1.001903e-05 0.000044 0.000118 0.000241 0.000417 0.000671
2025-01-19 4.157472e-08 8.376505e-06 0.000042 0.000119 0.000250 0.000440 0.000717
2025-01-26 NaN 5.384823e-06 0.000036 0.000110 0.000243 0.000440 0.000731
2025-02-02 NaN 5.195948e-06 0.000037 0.000117 0.000261 0.000477 0.000796
2025-02-09 NaN 3.669545e-06 0.000033 0.000113 0.000262 0.000488 0.000825
2025-02-16 NaN 2.371983e-06 0.000029 0.000108 0.000260 0.000494 0.000848
2025-02-23 NaN 1.515936e-06 0.000026 0.000105 0.000260 0.000504 0.000876
2025-03-02 NaN 9.438183e-07 0.000024 0.000102 0.000262 0.000516 0.000906